It’s time for your weekly dose of the NHL Numbers power rankings, a
weekly look on the previous week in the NHL. I’ll look at the five best
NHL teams thus far in the season, as well as the three best and worst
players in the last week.
All use of Corsi For and
Expected Goals For are Score and Venue Adjusted, and at even strength.
All stats come from Corsica Hockey, and NHL.com (don’t worry, it’s only
THE TOP FIVE
5. Edmonton Oilers (Last Week: N/A)
(9-6-1 record, 50.41% CF%, 48.47% xGF%, 99.69 PDO)
Despite the fact that they’ve been a bit cold in recent weeks, Edmonton’s strong start has helped them out thus far. They’re going on the always tough California road trip this week, so this may be their true test of how good they are.
4. Washington Capitals (Last Week: 2)
(9-4-1 record, 53.99% CF%, 53.55% xGF%, 102.33 PDO)
It was a bit of a tough week for the Caps, going 1-2-0, but have a few easier matchups in Columbus (twice) and Detroit this week, for a chance to get back on track.
3. Boston Bruins (Last Week: N/A)
(10-6-0 record, 54.76% CF%, 55.34% xGF%, 99.75 PDO)
The Bruins have been a surprise team this year, considering that I had them second last in the Atlantic to Detroit. With Bergeron, Marchand, and Pastrnak leading the possession up front, and Adam McQuaid (????) leading it at the blueline, and Rask’s resurgence season, the Bruins are starting to look like their former selves.
2. Montreal Canadiens (Last Week: 5)
(13-2-1 record, 50.16% CF%, 50.19% xGF%, 104.64 PDO)
Another week where Montreal continues to just float by in terms of possession, and yet they go 3-1, with the only loss coming when Al Montoya is in net. If that doesn’t show the importance of Carey Price to this team, I don’t know what does. They have a couple key division matchups in Florida and Toronto this week, giving them the opportunity to maintain their “dominance”.
1. Chicago Blackhawks (Last Week: N/A)
(11-3-2 record, 50.3% CF%, 48.23% xGF%, 105.38 PDO)
The Blackhawks got tested this week with some of the league’s best, and went 2-0-1. Their league PDO is a cause for concern, but the Hawks always seem to find a way to win, even if they aren’t as good as they used to be.
THE BOTTOM FIVE
5. Vancouver Canucks (Last Week: 3)
(6-9-1 record, 47.45% CF%, 44.45% xGF%, 96.77 PDO)
The Canucks were slightly better this week, improving their possession up 1% and going 2-2-0, so things aren’t so bleak for them just yet.
4. Columbus Blue Jackets (Last Week: 5)
(7-4-2 record, 47.31% CF%, 46.03% xGF%, 104.14 PDO)
While the Blue Jackets haven’t been terrible this season so far, their advanced stats show that things will only get worse from here.
3. Colorado Avalanche (Last Week: N/A)
(6-8-0 record, 47.27% CF%, 47.59% xGF%, 95.98 PDO)
The Avs haven’t looked good in the early going of the season, partially because their players can’t score, and their goalies have been mediocre. Despite the bad possession numbers, their PDO suggest a slight rebound.
2. New York Islanders (Last Week: N/A)
(5-8-3 record, 45.98% CF%, 48.23% xGF%, 99.83 PDO)
Remember when the Islanders were a dominant possession team a couple of years ago? Well, they’ve dropped about 8% since then, and haven’t been very impressive this season.
1. Arizona Coyotes (Last Week: 1)
(5-9-0 record, 45.69% CF%, 39.82% xGF%, 100.1 PDO)
The Yotes got another win last week, but their continuous decline in their analytics shows that the only reason that they aren’t out of the playoff race just yet is math.
THE REAL MVPS
1. Tyler Seguin (1G-6A-7P in 4GP, 60.85% CF%)
Seguin had a very successful week, surging to the top of the point leaders with seven points on the week. To top it off, he destroyed his opponents possession wise as well.
2. Tuukka Rask (4-0-0, .970%, 2 SO)
Part of the revival of the Boston Bruins, Rask was lights out this week, allowing only three goals this week, with just two of them coming at even strength.
3. Johnny Gaudreau (2G-0A-2P in 2GP, 70.03% CF%)
While Gaudreau doesn’t have the high point totals of most players, anyone who has a 70% or higher CF% over a week’s span is a star in my books.
THE TIRE FIRES
T1. Carter Hutton (0-2-0, .848%) and Jake Allen (0-0-1, .857%)
Both of the Blues goalies get the honours this week, as they played a huge contribution to the team going 0-2-1 this week. A lot of this is due to the 8-4 blowout loss to the Blue Jackets, but they haven’t been helping the team.
3. Roman Polak (0G-0A-0P, 28.63% CF%)
Polak may have been scratched in his last game, but based on the lineup for tonight’s game against Nashville, it was more for some rest than his bad play.