This new, regular feature on NHLNumbers will share interesting stats-related posts from around the web almost every day.
Welcome to edition number three of the rebooted Number Chains. In this space you will be able to find the best analytical hockey writing from around the internet on a close-to-daily basis. Subject matter will include statistical evaluation, financial analysis, contractual issues, and (sometimes) closely-related tangential works. If you have something you would like to submit for a future edition (your writing or that of someone else) feel free to send it to me via Twitter @JoshL1220 or leave a comment.
We begin the week with a musing by Ken Campbell about what life in the NHL would be like if Bain Capital had successfully purchased the league during the last lockout.He brings up an interesting point:
For starters, the money it would have taken to purchase the NHL would have been chump change for a private equity company as large as Bain. It would have been a small part of something much bigger, which would mean that the owner would not have lived and died with every struggling franchise. And as the owner of a single entity with 30 subsidiaries, the NHL would have been in the same situation as a lot of other large businesses. Any company with that many tentacles have branches that do spectacularly well, others that break even and some that lose money. But as long as the business as a complete entity is making money, and we know that it is because every year the league trumpets its record revenues, things would be a lot more stable than they are now.
The entire fabric of the league would be markedly different today, but who is to say things would be better? It’s an interesting thought, and the piece is certainly worth a read, but the ramifications of Bain actually being successful in their attempts to by the NHL don’t seem particularly pleasant.
After the jump we get into some Ryan Suter back tracking and some goodies from Hockey Prospectus.
*This weekend Ryan Suter made some inflammatory comments about new boss Craig Leipold. He put it out there that he thought the Minnesota Wild negotiated the deals for himself and Zach Parise in bad faith. On Sunday he had this to say to Mike Russo of the Minneapolis Star Tribune:
“I thought a lot about since what I said, I don’t question Craig Leipold and Minnesota with regards to negotiating our contracts in good faith. I don’t question that. That might have came off wrong. I don’t question that. It’s just frustrating. We just want to play. We support Don in what he’s doing. Obviously you sign a contract, and you want to hold true to that. I think, and I hope, everything works out.”
Do you feel that in the back of Leipold’s mind, he figured you’d take a haircut: “No, I honestly don’t feel that. It’s easy to think that or it might come off like that, but honestly, I know they’re good people. And I know they wouldn’t negotiate thinking, ‘OK, let’s give them this because it’ll end up being this.’ Because that’s not the kind of the people they are. So that came off wrong [in Suter’s original comments to ESPN the Magazine].
Perhaps Suter did speak out of turn, but his new quotes sure sound like someone got to him.
* Rob Vollman brings us the list of players who generated the most value for their teams in terms of Goals Versus Salary. Intererstingly, only half of the goalies on the list made over two million dollars.
* And finally this Monday we have Ryan Wagman bringing us Zamboni Tracks. This edition is The Hootenanny Award for 2011-12 awarded to the best replacement player. The best replacement player this year ended up being Carl Hagelin, but the full list has some gems on it.
That’s it for Monday. Hopefully the rest of you are more alert than I am.